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The Odds Of Being Born A Superhero: An Examination Of The Genetic Limits To Strength

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By Bret Contreras

Was your father Zeus or Odin? Did you ever have a favorable exposure to Gamma radiation? Have you ever been bitten by a radioactive genetically modified spider? No? Well maybe you hit the genetic lottery then when it came to strength. We all know or have seen people who display almost super human strength characteristics. Bret wrote a good article several years back on the subject titled The Truth About Bodybuilding Genetics.
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Our genetic makeup determines so much of who we are and what we do. It determines how we look and influences how we act. It also determines how our bodies react to environmental stimuli. For example, if two people perform the exact same exercise routine, they won’t respond in exactly the same way. One person might put on more lean muscle mass and get stronger than the other individual. The differences in responses may be small or in some rare cases extreme. Before continuing, I believe it would be helpful to give a little refresher on some biology terms.
  • Genotype: this is the genetic makeup of an organism. Different traits are determined by alleles, which is the form of a gene that produces differences in people. This information is responsible for hair color, eye color, and even behavior. Alleles can either be dominant or recessive. If you’ve been in a high school or college biology class a chart like this (see below) probably looks familiar:
Chart
B could express a dominant brown colored eye allele and b could express a recessive blue eye color allele. If both parents had a heterozygous genotype of Bb then there would be a 75% chance that their children would have brown eyes and a 25% chance that their children would have blue eyes.
  • Phenotypes are how genotypes are expressed. For example, an individual may have a genotype that predisposes them to cancer but if they remain healthy, meaning they stay active and don’t drink or smoke, that genotype may never be expressed. In terms of resistance training, an individual may have a remarkable capacity for increasing strength and size but if they never resistance train (environmental stimuli) that genotype won’t be expressed.
  • Finally, polymorphisms are when two or more different phenotypes exist in the same population of species.
A 2009 article by Hughes and colleagues examined the effect of genetics on an individual’s ability to express strength. The authors searched the available literature for any possible genes that were associated with muscle strength and power phenotypes. They wanted to determine the probability of the existence of an individual who exhibits all of the favorable genotypes for strength and power.
Using the equation: TGS = (100/2n) x (Gs1+Gs2+Gs3+….Gsn) the authors were able to come up with a strength potential profile.
TGS = total genotype score
n = number of polymorphisms, 22 were found so n = 22. For the list of all the polymorphisms read the full study (pg 1428).
Gs= genotype
Homozygous (think BB or bb) favorable alleles were ranked with a score of 2, heterozygous (think Bb) genotypes were given a score of 1, and homozygous non favorable genotypes were given a score of 0. A score of 100 would be indicative of an optimal strength profiled whereas a score of 0 would indicate the worst strength profiles.
With the addition of each phenotype, the odds of having an optimal strength profile begin to reduce exponentially. So much so that, “the probability of possessing the ‘optimal’ polygenic profile for muscle strength is reduced to just 5.0×10 (-14) %.” This is so low that the chances that having just one single person in the world possessing all of these traits is .0003%.
The authors continue to state that in the entire world, with a population of over 6 billion it is probable that only two individuals may possess 17 of the 22 favorable genes.
Upper limit TGS scores may be indicative of elite strength athletes whereas those that fall on the lower end may be indicative of more frail individuals. The range was between 20 and 82 with an average of 51.
This paper was strictly hypothetical so there were certainly some limitations. For example, only a Caucasian population was used so the data probably cannot accurately be interpreted to other populations. Also 17 of the 22 genotypes used lack strong scientific evidence as genetic polymorphisms associated with strength and power.
Just for fun I googled how many people have ever lived and saw the number was 108 billion people. If we multiple that number by .00000000000005 we get .0054% chance that for all intents and purposes, a superhero, has walked the earth. Chance are slim but who knows! We would need to have a population of over 21 trillion people (200 times the number of people who have ever walked the earth) to have an excellent chance at having one real life (no gamma radiation involved) super hero.
Even if you did happen to hit the genetic lottery and have a favorable strength profile that doesn’t guarantee you will be strong! Remember, how you express your genetic makeup also has a strong environmental component. Even a super human would need to train, get enough sleep and eat properly in order to recognize their full potential. A hard worker with a less favorable strength profile would certainly outperform one with a higher strength profile who ate junk food, barely slept, and had a poor work ethic.
how you get big
I’d like to leave with a quote a friend who commented on my idea of writing this article;
“Given enough opportunities, anything, no matter how unlikely to happen in one shot, becomes nearly inevitable as long as it’s possible”

 

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